Los altos impactos fiscales que va a tener el incremento del salario mínimo para 2026, según el Carf

TL;DR

A 23% minimum wage increase is projected to raise the fiscal deficit by at least $5.3 trillion (0.3% of GDP) in 2026 and $8 trillion (0.4% of GDP) from 2027 onwards.
The rising deficit moves away from the possibility of returning to the fiscal rule adjustment path and worsens public debt sustainability.
The minimum wage increase affects public finances through higher pension payments (both in the average premium regime and individual savings regime), increased public servant salaries, and potentially reduced corporate income tax revenue.
Unquantified factors, particularly the coverage of increases in the actuarial calculation of life annuities above inflation and productivity, could have significant additional impacts.
The fiscal situation is described as critical, with the government having declared an economic emergency.

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