Prevén un debilitamiento de la economía global durante 2026, según informe del Foro Económico Mundial
53 % de los economistas consultados cree que la economía global se debilitará este año Foto: AFP
TL;DR
- 53% of economists surveyed by the WEF predict a weakening global economy this year.
- Optimism is strongest in South Asia (66% expecting strong growth), while the US anticipates moderate growth and Europe expects weak growth.
- Trade between China and the US is expected to remain stable, with anticipated tariff increases in specific sectors.
- 94% of experts foresee an increase in bilateral trade agreements globally.
- AI investment and sovereign debt are identified as defining trends for 2026.
- Two-thirds of respondents expect AI to cause moderate job losses in the next two years, but a significant minority anticipates job growth in the long term.
- Sovereign debt is a major concern, with nearly half of respondents seeing a likelihood of sovereign debt crises in emerging markets.
- Governments are expected to use higher inflation and tax increases to combat debt issues.
- Increased defense, digital infrastructure, and energy spending are anticipated in both advanced and emerging economies.
- A majority anticipates a decrease in spending on environmental protection.