Reporte de Análisis Energético: 02 de febrero de 2026

TEMORES DE SOBREOFERTA MITIGADOS POR TENSIÓN GEOPOLÍTICA

Reporte de Análisis Energético: 02 de febrero de 2026

TL;DR

  • Oil prices saw their first positive month in six in January 2026, driven by geopolitical factors rather than supply/demand fundamentals.
  • Tensions between the US and Iran, climate disruptions in North America, and OPEC+'s production freeze supported prices.
  • OPEC+ confirmed its decision to pause production increases for Q1 2026 to prevent market saturation.
  • The conflict in Ukraine and its impact on energy infrastructure remain a point of uncertainty.
  • Venezuela's oil export landscape has transformed following the capture of Nicolás Maduro and new US policies, with revised hydrocarbon laws and a shift in export destinations.
  • Oil prices, specifically Brent and WTI, saw significant increases by the end of January 2026, though market volatility persisted.
  • Chevron is increasing its crude exports from Venezuela, and other major oil companies are seeking licenses to operate.
  • Venezuelan political changes include a proposed Amnesty Law and the recognition of Delcy Rodríguez as commander-in-chief of the Bolivarian Armed Forces.
  • Venezuela's crude production for the week was 861 Mbpd, with Chevron contributing significantly.
  • Citgo's protection regarding PDVSA bonds was extended until March 20, 2026.