Impacto del salario mínimo: esto es lo que subiría el costo de vida en 2026 por cada 1% extra

TL;DR

High minimum wage increases could push inflation into double digits.
Each 1% increase in the minimum wage above inflation and productivity could raise the cost of living by 0.20% to 0.26%.
The minimum wage influences prices through costs, indexation, and expectations.
Last year's 9.54% minimum wage hike, exceeding inflation and productivity by 2.52%, may have added 0.15 percentage points to inflation in 2025.
An excessive increase could lead to a two-digit inflation scenario, especially with existing indexation mechanisms.
Regional comparisons show that countries with minimum wage increases aligned with inflation and productivity experience faster disinflation.
Increases above productivity can reduce incentives for formal employment and hinder labor market recovery.
A significantly higher minimum wage than technically advised would force the Central Bank to maintain restrictive monetary policy, delaying interest rate cuts.

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