Commodities to become 16% more expensive due to global tensions and energy pressure, according to the World Bank

Portafolio Journalist 04/28/2026 09:40 Updated: 04/28/2026 09:40

Commodities to become 16% more expensive due to global tensions and energy pressure, according to the World Bank

TL;DR

  • Commodity prices have risen an average of 16% year-to-date, driven by the Middle East war and global market pressures.
  • Increases affect oil, fertilizers, agricultural goods, and metals, leading to higher costs across economies.
  • Energy prices could rise 24% this year, with Brent crude projected to average $86 per barrel in 2026.
  • Fertilizer prices may increase by 31% this year, impacting agricultural production costs.
  • Metals like aluminum, copper, and tin are expected to reach historic highs due to demand from data centers, electric vehicles, and renewable energy sectors.
  • The overall rise in commodities will contribute to sustained high inflation, potentially forcing central banks to raise interest rates.