Colombia, entre los países latinos donde más difícil ha sido devolver la inflación a los rangos objetivo
Agencias10.01.2026 19:53 Actualizado: 10.01.2026 20:13
TL;DR
- Latin America and the Caribbean projected to grow 2.3% in 2026 and 2.5% in 2027.
- Growth is heterogeneous, influenced by fiscal restrictions and a more adverse external environment.
- Resilience is supported by firm consumption, improved financial conditions in 2025, and stable commodity prices.
- Risks include deceleration in major trading partners, global financial tightening, and U.S. trade and migration policies.
- Brazil's economic growth to moderate to 2% in 2026 due to lagged monetary tightening and U.S. tariffs.
- Mexico's GDP growth to increase from 0.4% in 2025 to 1.3% in 2026, supported by investment and private consumption.
- Argentina's growth to moderate to 3.8% in 2026 after a projected 4.3% rebound in 2025, with achieved macroeconomic stabilization at a social cost.
- Inflation in the region expected to decelerate to 4% in 2026, but remains high in some economies like Brazil and Colombia.
- Labor markets have remained relatively stable, with falling or low unemployment in several countries, though full pre-pandemic labor participation is not yet recovered in some.
- Limited fiscal and monetary maneuverability restricts governments' ability to boost growth.
- Regional public debt remains elevated despite a decrease from 2020, with interest costs exceeding 5% of regional GDP.