Pese a política migratoria en Estados Unidos, remesas hacia Colombia mantienen su resiliencia
Periodista Portafolio13.01.2026 09:44 Actualizado: 13.01.2026 09:48
TL;DR
- BBVA Research released a report on remittances to Argentina, Colombia, and Peru, focusing on the impact of U.S. migration policy.
- The report emphasizes the resilience of remittance flows despite political uncertainty and potential tightening of U.S. migration policies.
- While migration flows are expected to slow, they are not showing signs of reversal.
- Remittances remain a crucial income source for Latin American economies, with varying levels of dependency.
- Colombia receives 53% of its remittances from the U.S., representing 2.8% of its GDP.
- Peru receives 42% of its remittances from the U.S., impacting its economy by 1.7% of its GDP.
- Migrants from these South American countries in the U.S. tend to have strong roots, stable residency, and legal status, mitigating the impact of new migration policies.
- Economic instability, insecurity, and the search for opportunities are deep-seated causes of migration to the U.S.
- Migrants in the U.S. show high labor participation and employment rates with lower unemployment compared to their home countries.
- The per capita income of these migrants in the U.S. is higher than in their origin countries and has shown favorable evolution.
- Remittances are expected to evolve favorably but at a slower pace than in recent years.
- For Colombia, remittances from the U.S. will slow, and those from other origins will show resilience but also decelerate, with moderated growth expected in 2025 and 2026.
- For Peru, migration flows from the U.S. are expected to slow moderately, leading to a slight reduction in remittance income as a percentage of GDP.
- A 1% tax on remittances in the U.S. starting January 1, 2026, will have a limited impact, as it only applies to physical transfers like cash and money orders, excluding electronic bank transfers.