Chinese blackout and yours? You were warned

By Juan David Escobar Valencia - [email protected]

Chinese blackout and yours? You were warned

TL;DR

  • The author previously advised businesses with commercial ties to China to develop contingency plans for a potential breakdown in relations.
  • Geopolitical events, like an attack on Iran, can disrupt crucial supply chains, particularly those involving oil exports from the Persian Gulf.
  • China's significant reliance on oil imports from the Persian Gulf makes it vulnerable to such disruptions, impacting its ability to export raw materials and finished goods.
  • Businesses should reassess models dependent on China for raw materials or finished products, as this "China dependence" carries significant risks.
  • China has already taken steps to manage its oil supply, including shutting down plants and suspending export negotiations, indicating its vulnerability.