La probabilidad de un déficit mensual de gas aumenta a 39% en 2026 y 58% en 2027, ante riesgo de desabastecimiento
Camilo Sánchez, presidente de Andesco y Tomás González, director del CREE hacen propuestas para salir del déficit de gas. Foto: Cortesía: Andesco
TL;DR
- Colombia faces a critical natural gas supply situation, with high risk of shortages in 2026 and 2027.
- The shortage is structural and growing, requiring increased imported gas if no action is taken.
- Probabilities of monthly deficits are projected at 39% in 2026 and 58% in 2027.
- Past adverse decisions, including curtailed exploration and reduced gas power generation, contributed to the crisis.
- The economic impact could be around $114 trillion, affecting competitiveness, employment, and energy sovereignty.
- Urgent measures include increasing short-term supply, developing infrastructure, and implementing clear, competitive regulations.
- Imported gas is currently meeting about 23% of demand, and its role is expected to grow.
- Importing gas from Venezuela is not a short-term solution due to technical and investment challenges.
- A hybrid scheme for infrastructure projects is proposed to ensure service continuity and cost efficiency.