'We don't believe it's possible to generate a deficit of 5.1% of GDP this year'

Andrés Velasco, president of Asofondos. Photo: Courtesy - Asofondos

'We don't believe it's possible to generate a deficit of 5.1% of GDP this year'

TL;DR

  • Private pension funds question the government's 2026 financial plan, deeming the projected 5.1% GDP deficit unrealistic.
  • Asofondos estimates the actual deficit could reach $140 trillion pesos due to undisclosed spending cuts and optimistic revenue forecasts.
  • Concerns are raised about the lack of a clear plan for the projected 1.7% GDP spending reduction ($35 trillion pesos).
  • Factors contributing to fiscal pressure include pension system issues, an aging population, and potential deficits in health and judicial rulings.
  • The decree of devaluation, which affects insurance for incapacity or death, is a significant concern for workers' contributions.
  • A realistic fiscal adjustment is needed to bring the deficit closer to 3% of GDP, requiring urgent and serious attention from the government and citizens.