¿Hasta dónde podrían llegar la informalidad y el desempleo tras el inédito reajuste del 23% en el salario mínimo?

TL;DR

A 23% increase in the minimum wage by 2026 is projected to significantly impact Colombia's labor market.
Unemployment could rise to 13.5% and informality to 60% in a negative scenario, according to the Private Competitiveness Council.
The country faces structural weaknesses in productivity and competitiveness, exacerbating the potential impact of the wage hike.
Small and medium-sized enterprises (92% of the business fabric) are particularly vulnerable, potentially leading to informalization or job losses.
Labor-intensive sectors like services, construction, manufacturing, and agriculture are expected to be heavily affected.
The wage increase could also fuel inflation due to production not keeping pace with rising labor costs.
Key critical factors identified include security, health, the energy sector, workforce development opportunities, and fiscal health.

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