tech
April 12, 2026
An early warning!
Once again, the El Niño phenomenon looms threateningly, with its usual dry season. This is one of the two extreme phenomena that characterizes climate variability; the other is La Niña, which is associated with high precipitation and a winter wave. As rarely happens, on this occasion, the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and the EU's European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) agree in their forecast of an 80% probability of El Niño occurring in the second half of this year.
TL;DR
- El Niño phenomenon, associated with drought, is predicted with 80% probability for the second half of the year by NOAA and ECMWF.
- Colombia's National Interconnected System (SIN) faces an energy deficit projected for 2026-2027 due to delays in generation and transmission projects.
- Energy companies are in financial crisis due to unpaid government subsidies for energy consumption, exceeding COP 3.6 trillion.
- The SIN has low resilience, with hydropower (over 60% of installed capacity) heavily impacted by drought, and most reservoirs having less than four months of regulation capacity.
- The demand for energy is expected to grow exponentially due to artificial intelligence and data centers, requiring a continuous, firm, and massive supply.