Es tiempo de actuar

Director de Investigaciones Económicas de Corficolombiana28.01.2026 22:20 Actualizado: 28.01.2026 22:20

Es tiempo de actuar

TL;DR

  • Inflation silently reduces purchasing power, devalues savings, and destroys long-term planning capabilities.
  • The Banco de la República faces the task of raising interest rates to combat inflation.
  • A 23% increase in the minimum wage has caused inflation expectations for 2026 to rise significantly.
  • The decision is not whether to raise rates, but how: gradually or with a rapid, decisive adjustment.
  • Swift rate hikes are compared to using a fire extinguisher immediately, causing initial damage but preventing widespread harm.
  • Gradual rate hikes are likened to a less forceful approach that might fail if the inflation problem grows.
  • Decisive action is needed when inflation expectations become unanchored from the target and when inflation threatens to become persistent.
  • Inflation expectations have notably de-anchored, with expectations for 2027 already outside the target range.
  • A significant portion of inflation is indexed, contributing to its persistence.
  • The central bank's credibility is weakening due to six consecutive years of missing the inflation target.
  • Controlling inflation is essential for regaining the central bank's credibility.