Es tiempo de actuar
Director de Investigaciones Económicas de Corficolombiana28.01.2026 22:20 Actualizado: 28.01.2026 22:20
TL;DR
- Inflation silently reduces purchasing power, devalues savings, and destroys long-term planning capabilities.
- The Banco de la República faces the task of raising interest rates to combat inflation.
- A 23% increase in the minimum wage has caused inflation expectations for 2026 to rise significantly.
- The decision is not whether to raise rates, but how: gradually or with a rapid, decisive adjustment.
- Swift rate hikes are compared to using a fire extinguisher immediately, causing initial damage but preventing widespread harm.
- Gradual rate hikes are likened to a less forceful approach that might fail if the inflation problem grows.
- Decisive action is needed when inflation expectations become unanchored from the target and when inflation threatens to become persistent.
- Inflation expectations have notably de-anchored, with expectations for 2027 already outside the target range.
- A significant portion of inflation is indexed, contributing to its persistence.
- The central bank's credibility is weakening due to six consecutive years of missing the inflation target.
- Controlling inflation is essential for regaining the central bank's credibility.