On Presidential Polls

TL;DR

The public is more attentive to presidential polls than to the government's claims about unemployment and inflation.
Unemployment and poverty reduction are attributed to policies from previous years, with the Venezuelan migration having a significant, yet unacknowledged, impact.
Inflation is a concern, affecting business costs, purchasing power, and economic growth.
The government blames the central bank for rising interest rates and slow economic growth, rather than its own public spending and debt.
Presidential polls are inconsistent and inconclusive, causing more doubt than certainty, but they indicate Iván Cepeda is not guaranteed a first-round win.
The current political landscape shows a ceiling for the left and an adjustment for the center-right, with undecided voters holding significant power.
The 'gag law' on polls wasted time and resulted in fragmented, non-conclusive measurements.

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