Banco de la República hace fuerte advertencia sobre fuerte subida de inflación y desempleo en el país
El panorama económico de Colombia para el 2026 ha dado un giro inesperado. El equipo técnico del Banco de la República (BanRep) reveló en su más reciente Informe de Política Monetaria una revisión al alza en sus proyecciones de inflación y desempleo, señalando como principal detonante el incremento del 23,2% en el salario mínimo legal decretado para este año.
TL;DR
- BanRep has revised its 2026 economic projections upwards for inflation and unemployment.
- The primary cause for the revised projections is a 23.2% increase in the legal minimum wage.
- Inflation is now projected to reach 6.3% in 2026, up from a previous forecast of 3.5%.
- Services intensive in labor, such as restaurants and transportation, are expected to lead price increases.
- Other risk factors include expected increases in gas and energy tariffs, resilient domestic demand, and fiscal uncertainty.
- Unemployment is projected to rise to 9% as many SMEs may struggle to afford increased labor costs.
- The wage increase could lead to job losses in the formal sector, potentially shifting workers to informal employment.