politics

May 8, 2026

Deciding Before Tragedy: The Cost of Ignoring Risk in Colombia

By Luis Fernando Álvarez Jaramillo - [email protected]

Deciding Before Tragedy: The Cost of Ignoring Risk in Colombia

TL;DR

  • Tragedies in Colombia are rarely unforeseen and are often preceded by technical reports and institutional warnings.
  • The Procuraduría has warned of a potential "systemic risk" in Colombian air transport due to obsolete infrastructure, faulty equipment, communication issues, and overworked air traffic controllers.
  • The Aeronáutica Civil (Aerocivil) has not yet responded to these warnings, possibly awaiting presidential authorization.
  • The Procuraduría is considering disciplinary action against the director and other officials of Aerocivil.
  • State diligence requires preventing foreseeable harm, not just reacting to it, which often involves uncomfortable decisions and resource reallocation.
  • Inaction may be more comfortable in the short term but transfers risk to the future.
  • True institutional maturity lies in anticipating problems and acting proactively, even with incomplete information.
  • The greatest risk is knowing about problems and failing to act in time.