economy
May 9, 2026
The phenomenon that will impact Nicaragua between May and July and affect the economy
The impact of 'El Niño' could cause losses in crops and reduce the quantity of exported products.
TL;DR
- INETER predicts a 61% chance of 'El Niño' in Nicaragua from May to July 2026.
- This could cause reduced rainfall and heatwaves with temperatures between 36-38.5°C.
- The 2026-2027 production cycle will be affected, leading to adjusted growth targets.
- Agriculture, especially dry-land farming, and water availability will face additional pressure.
- Measures will be implemented to reduce the impact on crops and minimize economic losses.
- Coffee production is expected to decrease by 7.7% (3 million quintales oro) due to crop cyclicity and climate variability.
- Milk production is projected to reduce by 2%.
- Fishing production is expected to decrease by 7.7% (147.4 million pounds) due to oceanographic and regulatory factors.
- Food export expectations for 2026-2027 are $3,595.7 million, an increase from the previous cycle's $3,400.9 million.