Manual para la turbulencia

TL;DR

Colombia's economy begins 2026 with significant pressures, including a new minimum wage and volatile oil prices impacting fiscal revenues and the dollar.
Companies are grappling with increased production costs due to volatile exchange rates, structural electricity costs, and uncertainty in gas supply.
Energy costs, both electric and gas, are a critical factor in competitiveness, affecting industries, commerce, logistics, and agriculture.
The government's pursuit of liquidity through external debt operations increases companies' exposure to exchange rate sensitivity.
The central bank's cautious stance on interest rates suggests potential for increases if inflation or fiscal issues worsen.
Despite the challenging economic environment, periods of turbulence offer opportunities for companies to reinvent themselves and improve productivity.
Companies should update their 2026 plans with clear scenarios (base, stressed, severe) and conduct realistic reforecasts of expenses and projects.
Managing energy consumption, identifying inefficiencies, renegotiating contracts, investing in efficiency, and considering self-generation are crucial for companies.
Success in 2026 will depend on strategic planning, strong metrics, and effective decision-making under pressure, rather than just optimism.

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