Nuevas proyecciones apuntan a que la tasa del Banco de la República rondaría el 12% en 2026: estas son las razones

TL;DR

Itaú forecasts that Colombia's intervention interest rate could reach 12% in 2026.
Inflation is expected to remain above the target range (around 6.7%) due to persistent cost-push pressures and dynamic consumption.
Economic growth is projected between 2.3% and 2.5% in 2026, primarily driven by private consumption and increased public spending.
Investment is expected to show reduced dynamism due to regulatory and tax adjustments, and tighter financial conditions.
Fiscal deficit is projected to be between 6.5% and 7% of GDP, indicating persistent fiscal pressures.
Globally, the US Federal Reserve is expected to cut rates twice in 2026, potentially weakening the dollar.
Latin America's macroeconomic frameworks are considered more solid, offering resilience if growth, inflation control, and fiscal sustainability are balanced.

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